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Research on drought in southwest China based on the theory of run and two-dimensional joint distribution theory
Alternative Title基于游程理论和两变量联合分布的中国西南地区干旱特征研究
Zuo, DD; Hou, W; Yan, PC; Feng, TC; Hou, W (reprint author), Natl Climate Ctr, China Meteorol Adm, Lab Climate Studies, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China.
Indexed BySCIE ; EI ; CSCD
2014-12-10
Source PublicationACTA PHYSICA SINICA
ISSN1000-3290
Volume63Issue:23Pages:230204-1-230204-12
AbstractBased on the standardized precipitation index data of 89 meteorological stations in southwest China (Sichuan Province, Yunnan Province, Guizhou Province, Chongqing) during 1961-2010, the probability and interval time were analyzed by employing the theory of run and the Copula function. The droughts with duration less than 4 months and the severity less than 3 account for 80% of all the droughts in southwest China. Drought types are mainly light within a month, moderate within a month, severe within a season and severe within inter-seasons. The frequency of occurring of drought with a duration less than 3 months and the severity less than 1 is higher in the eastern and western areas, and the central region has higher frequencies of occurrence of drought with a duration greater than 3 months and with severity greater than 1.5. Return periods of drought in eastern and western areas are longer than that of central region. More obvious spatial difference appears with longer duration and greater severity. The probability differences of the same drought type in different climatic types are within 0.05, indicating that there is no wide-range fluctuation in the occurrence probabilities of all the drought types as the time goes on.
Other Abstract基于中国西南地区(四川省、云南省、贵州省和重庆市)89个站点1961—2010年的逐月标准化降水指数序列,利用游程理论和Copula函数分析了这一地区不同等级和不同历时干旱的出现概率及重现期特征.结果表明:西南地区的干旱事件多为历时小于4个月、强度小于3的干旱事件;月内轻旱、月内中旱、季内特旱和跨季特旱的概率较大.干旱历时小于3个月和干旱强度为中旱以下的干旱类型多出现在西南地区的东部和西部,而干旱历时大于3个月和干旱强度为重旱以上的干旱类型多出现在西南地区中部.西南地区东部和西部的重现期大于中部地区,且随着干旱历时和干旱强度的增大,重现期空间差异越明显.而且,各气候态下相同干旱类型的概率差值不...
Keywordsouthwest China drought theory of run Copula function
Subject AreaPhysics
PublisherCHINESE PHYSICAL SOC
Publication PlaceBEIJING
DOI10.7498/aps.63.230204
First Inst
Host of Journal中国物理学会
Language中文
Project NumberNational Natural Science Foundation of China [41305056, 41175067] ; National Basic Research Program of China [2012CB955901]
Funding Project国家自然科学基金项目 ; 国家重点基础研究发展计划以及国家重大科学研究计划(973计划)
Funding OrganizationNSFC ; MOST
SubtypeArticle
WOS IDWOS:000346904700004
CSCD IDCSCD:5300123
EI ID20145100335887
IRIDCNKI:0005714
Department[Zuo Dong-Dong] Yangzhou Univ, Dept Phys, Yangzhou 225002, Peoples R China;
[Hou Wei] Natl Climate Ctr, China Meteorol Adm, Lab Climate Studies, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China;
[Yan Peng-Cheng;
Feng Tai-Chen] Lanzhou Univ, Coll Atmospher Sci, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China
Citation statistics
Cited Times:4[WOS]   [WOS Record]     [Related Records in WOS]
Cited Times:1[CSCD]   [CSCD Record]
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.lzu.edu.cn/handle/262010/119457
Collection大气科学学院
Corresponding AuthorHou, W (reprint author), Natl Climate Ctr, China Meteorol Adm, Lab Climate Studies, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China.
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Zuo, DD,Hou, W,Yan, PC,et al. Research on drought in southwest China based on the theory of run and two-dimensional joint distribution theory[J]. ACTA PHYSICA SINICA,2014,63(23):230204-1-230204-12.
APA Zuo, DD,Hou, W,Yan, PC,Feng, TC,&Hou, W .(2014).Research on drought in southwest China based on the theory of run and two-dimensional joint distribution theory.ACTA PHYSICA SINICA,63(23),230204-1-230204-12.
MLA Zuo, DD,et al."Research on drought in southwest China based on the theory of run and two-dimensional joint distribution theory".ACTA PHYSICA SINICA 63.23(2014):230204-1-230204-12.
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