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题名: Socio-ecological factors and hand, foot and mouth disease in dry climate regions: a Bayesian spatial approach in Gansu, China
作者: Gou, FX; Liu, XF; Ren, XW; Liu, DP; Liu, HX; Wei, KF; Yang, XT; Cheng, Y; Zheng, YH; Jiang, XJ; Li, JS; Meng, L; Hu, WB
收录类别: SCIE ; PubMed ; MEDLINE
出版日期: 2017-01
刊名: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY
卷号: 61, 期号:1-1, 页码:137-147
出版者: SPRINGER
出版地: NEW YORK
英文摘要: The influence of socio-ecological factors on hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) were explored in this study using Bayesian spatial modeling and spatial patterns identified in dry regions of Gansu, China. Notified HFMD cases and socio-ecological data were obtained from the China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention, Gansu Yearbook and Gansu Meteorological Bureau. A Bayesian spatial conditional autoregressive model was used to quantify the effects of socio-ecological factors on the HFMD and explore spatial patterns, with the consideration of its socio-ecological effects. Our non-spatial model suggests temperature (relative risk (RR) 1.15, 95 % CI 1.01-1.31), GDP per capita (RR 1.19, 95 % CI 1.01-1.39) and population density (RR 1.98, 95 % CI 1.19-3.17) to have a significant effect on HFMD transmission. However, after controlling for spatial random effects, only temperature (RR 1.25, 95 % CI 1.04-1.53) showed significant association with HFMD. The spatial model demonstrates temperature to play a major role in the transmission of HFMD in dry regions. Estimated residual variation after taking into account the socio-ecological variables indicated that high incidences of HFMD were mainly clustered in the northwest of Gansu. And, spatial structure showed a unique distribution after taking account of socio-ecological effects.
作者部门: [Gou, Faxiang ; Liu, Xinfeng ; Liu, Dongpeng ; Liu, Haixia ; Wei, Kongfu ; Yang, Xiaoting ; Cheng, Yao ; Zheng, Yunhe ; Jiang, Xiaojuan ; Meng, Lei] Gansu Ctr Dis Prevent & Control, Inst Communicable Dis Control & Prevent, Lanzhou, Gansu, Peoples R China ; [Ren, Xiaowei ; Li, Juansheng] Lanzhou Univ, Inst Epidemiol & Hlth Stat, Sch Publ Hlth, Lanzhou, Gansu, Peoples R China ; [Hu, Wenbiao] Queensland Univ Technol, Fac Hlth Publ Hlth & Social Work, Brisbane, Qld, Australia
通讯作者: Meng, L (reprint author), Gansu Ctr Dis Prevent & Control, Inst Communicable Dis Control & Prevent, Lanzhou, Gansu, Peoples R China. ; Hu, WB (reprint author), Queensland Univ Technol, Fac Hlth Publ Hlth & Social Work, Brisbane, Qld, Australia.
学科分类: Biophysics; Environmental Sciences & Ecology; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences; Physiology
文章类型: Article
语种: 英语
DOI: 10.1007/s00484-016-1197-9
ISSN号: 0020-7128
WOS记录号: WOS:000391821800012
PM记录号: 27329324
IR记录号: WOS:000391821800012
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内容类型: 期刊论文
URI标识: http://ir.lzu.edu.cn/handle/262010/189123
Appears in Collections:公共卫生学院_期刊论文

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Recommended Citation:
Gou, FX,Liu, XF,Ren, XW,et al. Socio-ecological factors and hand, foot and mouth disease in dry climate regions: a Bayesian spatial approach in Gansu, China[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY,2017,61(1-1):137-147.
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