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题名: Displacement and landslide forecast based on an improved version of Saito's method together with the Verhulst-Grey model
作者: Miao, SJ; Hao, X; Guo, XL; Wang, ZM; Liang, MC
收录类别: SCIE
出版日期: 2017-02
刊名: ARABIAN JOURNAL OF GEOSCIENCES
卷号: 10, 期号:1-3
出版者: SPRINGER
出版地: HEIDELBERG
英文摘要: Landslide forecasting is one of the emerging frontier topics in geotechnical engineering because of its need to deal with both abrupt change and complexity. Based on previous investigation and our experience with Saito's method, an improved Saito curve was drawn with four stages corresponding to the displacement process of the position on the back of the landslide. The equations and curves of displacement, rate, and acceleration, along with the landslide time forecast model, were all based on the improved Saito method. The Verhulst-Grey model that is used to calculate the parameters of the landslide time forecast model was established on the basis of displacement monitoring data. Finally, the precision of the improved Saito method was verified using the landslide monitoring data of a mining slope and a natural slope. The results show that the improved Saito method is both reliable and economical to use for landslide forecasting.
关键词: Slope displacement ; Landslide forecast ; Improved Saito'smethod ; Verhulst-Grey model
作者部门: [Miao, Shengjun ; Hao, Xin ; Wang, Zimu ; Liang, Mingchun] Univ Sci & Technol Beijing, Minist Educ China, Key Lab High Efficient Min & Safety Met Mines, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China ; [Miao, Shengjun ; Hao, Xin ; Wang, Zimu ; Liang, Mingchun] Univ Sci & Technol Beijing, Sch Civil & Resource Engn, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China ; [Guo, Xuelian] Lanzhou Univ, Key Lab Western Chinas Mineral Resources Gansu Pr, Sch Earth Sci, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China
通讯作者: Miao, SJ (reprint author), Univ Sci & Technol Beijing, Minist Educ China, Key Lab High Efficient Min & Safety Met Mines, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China. ; Miao, SJ (reprint author), Univ Sci & Technol Beijing, Sch Civil & Resource Engn, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China.
学科分类: Geology
文章类型: Article
所属项目编号: National Natural Science Foundation of China [51574014, 51534002] ; National Key Basic Research Program of China (973 Program) [2015CB060200] ; Beijing Higher Education Young Elite Teacher Project [YETP0341]
所属项目名称: 国家自然科学基金项目 ; 国家重点基础研究发展计划以及国家重大科学研究计划(973计划)
项目资助者: NSFC ; MOST
语种: 英语
DOI: 10.1007/s12517-017-2838-y
ISSN号: 1866-7511
WOS记录号: WOS:000394012200004
IR记录号: WOS:000394012200004
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内容类型: 期刊论文
URI标识: http://ir.lzu.edu.cn/handle/262010/189139
Appears in Collections:地质科学与矿产资源学院_期刊论文

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Recommended Citation:
Miao, SJ,Hao, X,Guo, XL,et al. Displacement and landslide forecast based on an improved version of Saito's method together with the Verhulst-Grey model[J]. ARABIAN JOURNAL OF GEOSCIENCES,2017,10(1-3).
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