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Effects of temperature variation and humidity on the death of COVID-19 in Wuhan, China
Ma, Yueling1; Zhao, Yadong2; Liu, Jiangtao1; He, Xiaotao1; Wang, Bo1; Fu, Shihua1; Yan, Jun3; Niu, JP(牛静萍)1; Zhou, Ji4,5; Luo, B(罗斌)1,5,6
2020-07-01
Source PublicationScience of the Total Environment
ISSN00489697
Volume724
AbstractMeteorological parameters are the important factors influencing the infectious diseases such as severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) and influenza. This study aims to explore the association between Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) deaths and weather parameters. In this study, we collected the daily death numbers of COVID-19, meteorological parameters and air pollutant data from 20 January 2020 to 29 February 2020 in Wuhan, China. Generalized additive model was applied to explore the effect of temperature, humidity and diurnal temperature range on the daily death counts of COVID-19. There were 2299 COVID-19 death counts in Wuhan during the study period. A positive association with COVID-19 daily death counts was observed for diurnal temperature range (r = 0.44), but negative association for relative humidity (r = −0.32). In addition, one unit increase in diurnal temperature range was only associated with a 2.92% (95% CI: 0.61%, 5.28%) increase in COVID-19 deaths in lag 3. However, both 1 unit increase of temperature and absolute humidity were related to the decreased COVID-19 death in lag 3 and lag 5, with the greatest decrease both in lag 3 [−7.50% (95% CI: −10.99%, −3.88%) and −11.41% (95% CI: −19.68%, −2.29%)]. In summary, this study suggests the temperature variation and humidity may also be important factors affecting the COVID-19 mortality. © 2020 Elsevier B.V.
KeywordAdditives Atmospheric humidity Temperature Temperature distribution VirusesCOVID-19 Diurnal temperature ranges Effect of temperature Effects of temperature Generalized additive model Meteorological parameters Severe acute respiratory syndrome Temperature variation
DOI10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138226
Indexed ByEI
Language英语
PublisherElsevier B.V., Netherlands
EI Accession Number20201508391602
EI KeywordsDiseases
EI Classification Number443.1 Atmospheric Properties - 461.9 Biology - 641.1 Thermodynamics - 803 Chemical Agents and Basic Industrial Chemicals
Citation statistics
Cited Times:404[WOS]   [WOS Record]     [Related Records in WOS]
Document Type会议论文
Identifierhttps://ir.lzu.edu.cn/handle/262010/441242
Collection公共卫生学院
Corresponding AuthorLuo, Bin
Affiliation1.Institute of Occupational Health and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou; Gansu; 730000, China;
2.Sexually Transmitted Disease and Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome Prevention Branch, Gansu Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Lanzhou; Gansu; 730000, China;
3.Department of General Surgery, Lanzhou University First Affiliated Hospital, Lanzhou; Gansu; 730000, China;
4.Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences & Institute of Atmospheric Sciences, Fudan University, Shanghai, China;
5.Shanghai Key Laboratory of Meteorology and Health, Shanghai Meteorological Bureau, Shanghai; 200030, China;
6.Shanghai Typhoon Institute, China Meteorological Administration, Shanghai; 200030, China
First Author AffilicationSchool of Public health
Corresponding Author AffilicationSchool of Public health
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Ma, Yueling,Zhao, Yadong,Liu, Jiangtao,et al. Effects of temperature variation and humidity on the death of COVID-19 in Wuhan, China[C]:Elsevier B.V., Netherlands,2020.
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