| Addressing the long- and short-run effects of climate change on major food crops production in Turkey | |
| Chandio, Abbas Ali1; Gokmenoglu, Korhan K.2; Ahmad, Fayyaz3 | |
| 2021-05 | |
| Online publication date | 2021-05 |
| Source Publication | ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH Impact Factor & Quartile |
| ISSN | 0944-1344 |
| EISSN | 1614-7499 |
| Volume | 28Issue:37Pages:51657-51673 |
| page numbers | 17 |
| Abstract | This study assessed the long-run (LR) and short-run (SR) impacts of climatic and non-climatic factors, i.e., CO2 emissions (CO(2)e), average level of temperature (ALT), average level of precipitation (ALP), area harvested of wheat and rice crops (AHW and (AHR), domestic credit (DCR), and agricultural labor (ALB) on wheat and rice production (WP and RP) in Turkey by using annual time series data ranging from 1980 to 2016 and by employing several econometric techniques. The autoregressive distributed lag-bounds (ARDL) approach and the Johansen and Juselius cointegration (JJC) test confirmed a valid long-term connection among underlying variables. The estimation results from the ARDL model reveal that climatic factors such as CO2 emissions and temperature adversely affected wheat production in the long run as well as in the short run, whereas precipitation positively improved wheat production in both periods. Further results indicate that non-climatic factors like area harvested of wheat and domestic credit positively and significantly enhanced wheat production in the long run and short run. Similarly, CO2 emissions also adversely affected rice production in both periods, while temperature and precipitation positively contributed towards rice production in both cases. In addition, area harvested of rice positively and significantly boosted rice production in the long run as well as in the short run, while domestic credit negatively influenced rice production in the long run but in the short run positively improved rice production. Additionally, the outcomes of the VECM Granger Causality for both rice and wheat production confirm that both climatic and non-climatic variables have a strong influence on the production of both crops. This study found that climate change has a deleterious influence on both wheat and rice productiontherefore, the study suggests that temperature-resistant varieties of both crops should be developed and introduced by agricultural research institutions. In addition to this, up-to-date information is more needed related to climate change, and in the farming communities, it should be provided by agricultural extension workers. |
| Keyword | Climate changeWheat productionRice productionARDL approachTurkey |
| Publisher | SPRINGER HEIDELBERG |
| DOI | 10.1007/s11356-021-14358-8 |
| Indexed By | SCOPUS ; SCIE |
| Language | 英语 |
| WOS Research Area | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| WOS Subject | Environmental Sciences |
| WOS ID | WOS:000650195600003 |
| Original Document Type | ArticleEarly Access |
| PMID | 33987728 |
| Citation statistics | |
| Document Type | 期刊论文 |
| Identifier | https://ir.lzu.edu.cn/handle/262010/450883 |
| Collection | 兰州大学 |
| Corresponding Author | Chandio, Abbas Ali |
| Affiliation | 1.Sichuan Agr Univ, Coll Econ, Chengdu 611130, Peoples R China; 2.Eastern Mediterranean Univ, Dept Banking & Finance, North Cyprus Via Mersin 10, Famagusta, Turkey; 3.Lanzhou Univ, Sch Econ, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China |
| Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Chandio, Abbas Ali,Gokmenoglu, Korhan K.,Ahmad, Fayyaz. Addressing the long- and short-run effects of climate change on major food crops production in Turkey[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH,2021,28(37):51657-51673. |
| APA | Chandio, Abbas Ali,Gokmenoglu, Korhan K.,&Ahmad, Fayyaz.(2021).Addressing the long- and short-run effects of climate change on major food crops production in Turkey.ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH,28(37),51657-51673. |
| MLA | Chandio, Abbas Ali,et al."Addressing the long- and short-run effects of climate change on major food crops production in Turkey".ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH 28.37(2021):51657-51673. |
| Files in This Item: | |||||
| File Name/Size | DocType | Version | Access | License | |
| 10.1007@s11356-021-1（723KB） | 期刊论文 | 出版稿 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | View Application Full Text |
